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Workspan

The third span nobody designed

We measure lifespan. We've started measuring healthspan. The forty-to-fifty-year working life sits between them. Others have named it; almost nobody has designed it. We inherited it from a life expectancy that no longer exists.

Three spans, one plan

Lifespan is how long you live. Healthspan is how long you live well. Workspan is how long you work, and it's the only one of the three that is almost entirely a design decision: school leaving age, career ladders, retirement age, pension rules. Those decisions were made for a life that ended not long after the work did.

Switch the horizon and watch what the old design leaves behind.

Lifespan80 years
Workspan, as designed (22 to 65)43 years
Years after the work stops15 years
0.35
years of life after work, per year worked
69%
of adult life spent working

Illustrative arithmetic: education to 22, retirement at 65, bars drawn to scale on a 150-year axis. The point is the shape, not the decimal.

A career built for an 80-year life stretched over 120 years isn't a longer career. It's a longer retirement nobody can fund.

Where the word comes from

Workspan isn't a new word, and it would be dishonest to present it as one. It sits in a family of "span" terms that people in ageing research have coined to measure what lifespan misses.

The parent term

Healthspan, 1987

The gerontologists John Rowe and Robert Kahn are generally credited with first using "health span" in a 1987 article in Science, arguing that after the rise in lifespan, extending the years of full function should be the next goal.

Workspan in use

The working-life version

The longevity and future-of-work writer Avivah Wittenberg-Cox, who works on the consequences of 60-year careers, has urged people to extend their workspans to match lengthening lifespans. A 2021 World Economic Forum piece on older workers called for policies to accommodate an extended workspan, and the US Health Action Alliance lists "extend workspan" next to "invest in healthspan" in its 2024 guidance for employers. Stanford's Center on Longevity makes the same argument in its New Map of Life work, which says longer lives will mean longer work spans.

Recent cousins

Peakspan and brainspan

Researchers keep adding spans. In late 2025 Alex Zhavoronkov and Dominika Wilczok proposed "peakspan", the age range in which someone keeps at least 90% of their peak performance in a given domain. Others have proposed "brainspan" for the years of sound cognitive function.

What this page adds is the framework: treating workspan as a design problem on par with lifespan and healthspan, the five pillars below, and the durability test.

The five pillars

Workspan breaks the problem into five parts. Each has evidence behind it.

01 · Systems design

The rules were set for a shorter life

Retirement ages, super, and career structures assume a three-stage life: learn, earn, stop. Some governments are already redesigning. Singapore raised its retirement age to 64 and its re-employment age to 69 on 1 July 2026, with a target of 65 and 70 by 2030.

02 · Workforce planning assumptions

Employers plan as if experience expires

In a 2021 survey of 604 Australian HR professionals and business leaders by the Australian HR Institute and the Australian Human Rights Commission, 46.7% said their organisation would be reluctant to recruit workers over a certain age. Sixty per cent said the departure of older workers had cost them key skills. Fewer than a third consulted older workers on issues that concerned them.

03 · Intergenerational ineffectiveness

The bias is in the hiring, not the work

The 2023 edition of the same survey found one in six organisations would not consider hiring anyone over 65 in any circumstance. Yet many respondents who had actually employed older workers reported their performance, adaptability, energy and creativity were no different from younger colleagues.

04 · Reinvention and lifelong learning gaps

Skills now expire faster than careers

Employers surveyed for the World Economic Forum's Future of Jobs Report 2025 expect 39% of workers' core skills to change by 2030. A single education at the start of a sixty-year working life can't cover that. Singapore's answer is a S$4,000 SkillsFuture top-up for citizens aged 40 and over, plus a training allowance of half their income, capped at S$3,000 a month for up to two years.

05 · The lump of labour fallacy

Older workers don't take young people's jobs

The idea that there's a fixed number of jobs, so one generation must leave for the next to enter, is old and wrong. Alicia Munnell and April Wu at Boston College's Center for Retirement Research studied US data from 1977 to 2011 and found no evidence of crowding out. A one-point rise in older workers' employment was associated with lower youth unemployment, higher youth employment and more hours worked.

The durability test

One question sorts most skills: can the job be fully specified and scored? If you can write down exactly what good looks like and mark it, a machine can eventually be trained to do it. If you can't, because it depends on judgement, context and trust, the skill tends to get more valuable with time instead of less.

Decaying

Fully specifiable and scoreable
  • Producing a standard report or first draft
  • Applying a known rule to a known case
  • Routine coding, translation, data entry
  • Anything with a checklist that defines "done"

Compounding

Can't be fully specified in advance
  • Knowing when a confident answer is wrong
  • Being trusted enough that people act on your call
  • Reading a room, a board, a negotiation
  • Pattern recognition from decades in one field

A long working life that stays on the left side of that line gets cheaper every year. A long working life that moves right gets more valuable. That movement is what a second-stage career is for.

Second-stage careers

The usual story is that the big bets belong to the young. The data says otherwise.

EvidenceUS Census data · 2.7 million founders

The best founders are middle-aged

Economists from MIT, Northwestern and the US Census Bureau studied 2.7 million American founders. The average founder was 41.9. Among the fastest-growing one in a thousand new companies, the average founder was 45. A 50-year-old founder was about 1.8 times as likely to build one of those companies as a 30-year-old.

The strongest predictor wasn't youth. It was prior experience in the same industry, which roughly doubled the rate of top-tier success. That's compounding skill, cashed in.

The catch: it's one large US study, and founding a company is only one kind of second stage. But it demolishes the idea that the window closes at 35.

Case studyBMW Dingolfing, Germany · 2007–2010

Redesign the work, not the worker

BMW expected the average age at its Dingolfing plant to rise from 39 to 47. Instead of pushing people out, it staffed a pilot gearbox line with 42 workers averaging 47, and asked them how to redesign it. They made about 70 small changes: wooden floors, adjustable chairs, special shoes, tilted screens, job rotation. The line's productivity rose 7% in a year, matching lines with younger workers, and absenteeism fell below the plant average.

The whole redesign cost tens of thousands of euros. It was initially mocked as the "pensioners' line".

The catch: one production line, one company, a decade and a half ago. It's the classic case because so few employers have published anything since.

What to do about it

If you employ people

  1. Ask the people you're worried about. BMW's gains came from the workers themselves. Fewer than a third of Australian employers even consult older staff.
  2. Plan careers at 40, not at 60. Singapore funds structured career planning and part-time re-employment through the same grant. A conversation at 40 creates options. One at 60 closes them.
  3. Count the skills that walk out. If sixty per cent of employers say departures cost them key skills, that cost belongs in the workforce plan, not in hindsight.
  4. Hire on the durability test, not the birth year. Judgement and trust compound. Make them what you select for.

If you're planning your own second stage

  1. Sort your skills into the two columns above. Be honest about which ones a machine will do more cheaply in five years.
  2. Stay in the industry you know, but change the role. The founder data rewards depth. The second stage is usually a new seat at a familiar table.
  3. Budget for relearning, not just for retirement. In a sixty-year working life, being a beginner again is scheduled maintenance, not a failure.
  4. Build the relationships that make your judgement usable. Expertise nobody trusts doesn't compound.
Lifespan is the length of the road. Workspan is whether you're still driving somewhere you chose.

Why the long plan isn't science fiction: the evidence file →

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